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Herald Sun Form Guide : April 25th 2009
48 Herald Sun, Saturday, April 25, 2009 + YOUR COMPREHENSIVE HARNESS GUIDE HUTCHY SAYS with BILL HUTCHISON 1 Decron Horse Care 6.00 Hutchy says: DREAM A MOMENT(10) is the trotting mare of the moment. She made if five wins from her latest six runs when following Moonee Valley and Geelong victories with a tough success in the Crystal Bucket at Echuca a fortnight ago and looks the winner again. RED SAMURAI (5) ran a big race in the Warragul Trotters Cup last time where, after a mid-race mistake, he made a lot of ground for his fourth placing. Prior to that, he’d been wide in the last lap when third here to DREAM A MOMENT(10) and is well overdue to break his Saturday night maiden status. BELEVA (6) was well supported but never a chance from his back mark here at last Monday’s day meeting but is obviously on the improve and looks nicely graded on the form he showed last season. Each way chances to KARAMBOO (1), who won the Yarra Valley Trotters Cup back in February and resumes from a short break off some handy trial efforts; CLASSIC PLAYBOY (3), who ran fast time in winning the Mildura Trotters Cup last week; and SPEEDY NAOMI (9), who impressively won off a backmark at Geelong ten days ago. RATINGS: 10 / 5, 6 / 1? 3, 9 / 2, 11, 13. SUGGESTED BET: DREAM A MOMENT(10) to win. 2 APG 2YO Fillies 1 6.25 Hutchy says: A pair of visitors looks to have it between them in this second round heat of the APG for 2YO Fillies. ART PRINCESS (3) is a Lisa Fitzpatrick trained filly, to be driven by brother Blake, who led all the way to win a first round heat at Harold Park a fortnight ago and has a chance of doing it all again. Queenslander TALOREM (2) debuted when an odds-on favourite and breezing it in slow time to score well in an Albion Park heat and it should be a good duel between this pair. Best of locals is LOVING LIFE LOMBO (6), who finished well to win at Shepparton before battling on okay for fifth from the breeze behind Modern Girl in a Bendigo heat of this series, which was run in a blistering 1:58.2. CENTENNIAL ROSE (5) has place claims. RATINGS: 3 / 2 / 6 / 5 place only. SUGGESTED BET: Trifecta 2 and 3 to win, 2, 3, 6, for second and 1, 2, 3, 4, 5, 6 for third. 3 APG 2YO Fillies 2 7.00 Hutchy says: ROCKNROLLA (7) had the run of the race when an easy Geelong winner on debut before putting up an amazing effort to win a Bendigo heat of this race a fortnight ago where she was badly out, then came from the rear to find the breeze at the 800 when outstaying Mach And Me. The awkward draw won’t help but potentially, she’s a top filly.DANCEWITHAGRIN (8) is aWagga trained performer who flashed home to beat GEM OF REIBEY (9) on debut at Cobram early last month, then had no luck when third in a heat of the Bathurst Gold Tiara before sitting in the breeze outside MISS TRICKIN LOMBO (3) in the Harold Park heat of this race and fighting on well to be narrowly beaten. She may be sitting right behind the pole marker and likely leader and will have use of the sprint lane. The Paul Fitzpatrick trained CLONTARF LADY (1) sat in one-one to win her Harold Park heat, and from this better draw looks the likely leader and will be hard to run down. STUNIN GIRL (6) worked hard in the breeze when favourite and a close second in that heat, following a come-from-behind victory over CLONTARF LADY (1) at Menangle on debut. JO SMASHEM (4) ran on nicely when second in the Bendigo heat and has each way claims along with GEM OF REIBEY (9), who worked hard to find the lead, then slowed them up when runner-up at Bendigo. RATINGS: 7 / 1, 8 / 6 / 4 / 9. SUGGESTED BET: ROCKNROLLA (7) to win. 4 Badlands Hanover 7.30 Hutchy says: TEAR IT ALL AWAY (3) won good races at Ballarat and Geelong before luckless efforts at those two venues, the latest when badly held up and unlucky behind Very chic at Geelong ten days ago. He looks nicely suited from this draw over the sprint trip. RUN RILEY RUN (1) is an honest and consistent performer who was placed a couple of times here last month and comes off a fast finishing heat win, then third in the final to Kalypso Kid in the Mark Gurry Cup at Mildura last weekend. He draws to have a great chance here.ARMA HARRIS (5) worked hard in the breeze when third in a stand here before putting up a monster effort when again caught outside the leader and third in the Warragul Cup last time.He has gate speed and is sure to have a dip for the lead. SHOOT THE DICE (6) and ISLAND TANGO (8) are both in career best form and have claims along with VILLAGE PUNGEE (10), who ran home nicely when third at Maryborough during the week. RATINGS: 3 / 1, 5 / 6, 8 / 10. SUGGESTED BET: TEAR IT ALL AWAY (3) to win. 5 Lis Mara @ Nevele R 8.00 + Hutchy says: An open mares’ race where GILT BROMAC(8) deserves a breakthrough victory at this level. She finished well when narrowly beaten here three weeks ago, then made two moves and out-finished the talented Whipair at Horsham last time. She’ll be close enough from this inside second line draw. MISS LAURA JANE (1) has enough gate speed to be prominent early, as she was when leading from gate four and cut down late here two starts back. She worked hard from the second line to lead after the bell when winning impressively at Maryborough last time. VERY CHIC (10) led all the way to beat Harrys Lass in fast time here two starts back, then came from the second line and pulled hard in the breeze when too strong for CHRISTIAN MELODY (11) at Geelong ten days ago. JAZZAM (7) is next best - she had terrific form here before Christmas and has been luckless in both runs since resuming. RATINGS: 8 / 1 / 10 / 7 / 2, 3, 6, 9, 11. SUGGESTED BET: Flexi trifecta to win and run second 1, 7, 8, 10 with the field for third. $27.00 gets you 25% WINNERS ENCLOSURE 6 Anzac Day Cup 8.30 Hutchy says: An open standing start affair where MISTY MILLER (9) rates as the top pick. At her first run for Emma Stewart, she finished a desperately unlucky second to Lucky Elsie in a 1:55.2 mile here five weeks ago, then last weekend sat outside the leader to score an impressive Ballarat victory. She’s been placed in an Echuca Cup from two standing start tries. DONTFENCEMEIN(8) is an old marvel. Now a nine year old, he’s been doing his racing in Tasmania where he’s won four races this term and comes off a close third to Im Mark Antony and Brooklyn Bute from the second line in a mobile FFA at Hobart, then was outstanding in defeat when coming from the 20 metre mark and second, beaten a metre in the Easter Cup by Ohoka Utah at Launceston a fortnight ago. LUV THA ACES LOMBO (6), a fast finishing winner here three starts back, has good standing start ability and wasn’t disgraced when slightly outclassed in heat and final of last week’s Mildura Cup.Each way chances to YUCATCHIM (1), WALTON VAN (3), VERANJEE (4), KARLSRUHE (11) and MONARCO MAN (12), who failed last time but brilliantly beat Diamonds And Furs in a fast Geelong trial last Monday night. RATINGS: 9 / 8 / 6 / 1, 3, 4 / 11, 12 / 7 / 2. SUGGESTED BET: MISTY MILLER (9) to win. 7 Renown Silverware 9.00 Hutchy says: JUBILEE BALL(2) won 10 of 16 last season and has been placed twice at Ballarat since resuming, the most recent of those efforts eight days ago where he led and was cut down late by Misty Miller and ALBERT JACCKA (6). He’ll be fitter, should be in front once more, and this track is more leader friendly. PACIFIC CHARM (5) did it tough when beating the talented Art Trader at Echuca a fortnight ago and has strong claims. ALBERT JACCKA (6) is a talented gelding who’s only won one of 19 this season but on his latest run when second to Misty Miller at Ballarat, he’ll be hard to hold out. Honest mare BELOKA DIAMOND (1) has the draw and each way claims along with WIPEM DRY (4), who was back to his best in an impressive Bendigo victory last time. RATINGS: 2 / 5 / 6 / 1 / 4 / 3. SUGGESTED BET: JUBILEE BALL(2) to win. 8 Nevele R Vic Oaks 9.30 Hutchy says: Last week’s clash in the Ballarat heat of this Series between BROADWAYS BEST (4) and IMA SPCIEY LOMBO (12) was a beauty and these two top fillies look set to fight out the final. BROADWAYS BEST (4) hadn’t raced for a couple of months when she led last week and was shaded on the line by IMA SPICEY LOMBO (12), who’d followed a Queensland Oaks victory with an outstanding performance to win after beginning badly. BROADWAYS BEST (4) should find the lead again while IMA SPICEY LOMBO (12) will have to work overtime from her extreme draw in this tough field. LIFE INTHEFASTLANE (2) has been totally luckless in recent runs on the Gold Coast and when seventh here in her heat last week. She has gate speed and may find the early lead before handing up to BROADWAYS BEST (4). With expected pace on, she could be the one to use the sprint lane to effect. The easier heat last week was fought out by QUEEN OF FIRE (11), who flashed home late to beat KISSMECATIE (9), who covered ground in the final circuit. There again won’t be much between that pair, but they’ll need luck to beat the more fancied runners from their second line draw. LEWISIENNA JO (1), GOLDEN SHOWGIRL (6) and ELIXIR (8) are all handy fillies who have place claims at least. RATINGS: 4 / 12 / 2 / 9, 11 / 1, 8. SUGGESTED BET: Box trifecta 2, 4, 12. 9 APG 2YO Fillies 3 10.00 Hutchy says: MODERN GIRL (1) should be far too good for these. She made it four wins from five starts (began badly in the other) when leading all the way in a fast 1:58.2 to win her first round heat at Bendigo a fortnight ago and draws to repeat the dose. NEVER WAVER LOMBO (4) took a sit on MODERN GIRL (1) in that Bendigo race and ran her to two metres, but from this alley won’t get as soft a trip. Tasmanian visitor ARTIFICE (2) won twice at home before having every chance when a short priced favourite and third in another heat and has some chance, with ESPSHLILUCKY LOMBO (3), GEMMIA (8) and SKIRNIR (9) also in the mix. RATINGS: 1 / 2, 4 / 8, 9 / 3. SUGGESTED BET: Key trifecta 1 from 2, 3, 8, 9. 10 APG 2YO Fillies 4 10.30 Hutchy says: Four good winning chances here and the best of them may be MORGAN ABBY (8), who followed her debut Geelong third with an impressive heat win at Bendigo where she worked from mid-field to the breeze at the 800 and was strong at the finish. MACH AND ME (7) was placed here, then won at Geelong before leading when finding Rocknrolla too slick in a 27.9 last split as favourite in her heat and will find this slightly easier, but the wide draw won’t help. SHES NORMA JEANE (1) won the other Bendigo heat in all the way fashion and from the pole will be attempting a repeat performance. CEE CEE SHEFFIELD (5), who won a heat in the Bathurst Gold Tiara, had no luck from a wide draw at Bendigo and has claims if she can find a forward position. MY LADY MACRAY (6) looks best of the others. RATINGS: 8 / 1, 7 / 5 / 6. SUGGESTED BET: MORGAN ABBY (8) to win. PETER MANNING Trainer VERY CHIC (MV Race 5 No.10) Good win in Melbourne, then she won at Geelong when she pulled really hard but was still too good. Tough draw but she should be able to overcome that because she’s been racing very well. QUEEN OF FIRE (MV Race 8 No.11) They’re all racing at a new distance these fillies, but the way she won her heat you’d think it would suit her. Also, she ran 1.5sec faster than the other heat but it’s going to be tough from the draw and could come down to a bit of luck. TRAINERS and DRIVERS PAUL FITZPATRICK Trainer CLONTARF LADY (MV Race 3 No.1) She hit the line well at Harold Park, her best work was late and the draw has helped us a lot. She’s not brilliant early, but she’s learning and she’s very strong so the quicker they go the better it will be. IMA SPICEY LOMBO (MV Race 8 No.12) I wouldn’t say she’s improved since last week, but she’s just got to hold everything together which she’s done very well. That was her first run for a while and she went pretty good, I’m just disappointed that she’s out of the draw. CHRIS ALFORD Driver WALTON VAN (MV Race 6 No.3) His form probably doesn’t look all that good, but last start at Ballarat he was hoisted off the track but still got home to hit the line nicely. He’s drawn well in three so he has to be in there with a chance. BROADWAYS BEST (MV Race 8 No.4) Her heat run was good when you consider she was probably underdone a little bit. She’s drawn well and with the other one (Ima Spicey Lombo) out of the draw she’d have to be one of the top two picks. QUICK FORM with CRAIG RAIL heraldsun.com.au BEST ON TIMES MODERN GIRL (MV Race 9 No.1) Led throughout and recorded the fastest time out of all of the heats in the first round of the Australian Gold, running a mile of 1:58.2. She is drawn to lead again and should take catching. BEST ON CLASS ALBERT JACCKA (MV Race 7 No.6) Has been racing against the open class, including an unplaced effort in the Geelong Rocket, so he looks well placed with a concession claim this evening. BEST ON VIDEO YUCATCHIM (MV Race 6 No.1) Was shuffled back to last from an awkward draw, sprinted sharply to fourth in the home straight, before running into a dead-end and switching back to the inside in desperation when a close third at Mildura last week. He hasn’t had much luck lately and is worth an investment. BEST ON RECORD ROCKNROLLA (MV Race 3 No.7) Remains undefeated from two starts and overcame an early mistake to record a narrow but decisive victory in fast time at Bendigo last outing. She is poorly drawn but looks to have a promising future. BEST ON TRIALS LIFE INTHEFASTLANE (above) (MV Race 8 No.2) Didn’t have much luck at Ballarat last week and recorded a quick final half of 57.2sec when she won a recent Cranbourne trial. BEST ROUGHIES BELEVA (MV Race 1 No.6) Has been disappointing this term but is a brilliant beginner from the stand and gains his first front line draw for a long time, so he gets his chance to improve. MONARCO MAN (MV Race 6 No.12) Is a handy standing-start performer and looked sharp when he defeated Diamonds N Furs in a Geelong trial on Monday so an improved effort would not surprise. CEE CEE SHEFFIELD (MV Race 10 No.5) Had no luck from a wide draw at her first run since eighth in the Bathurst Gold Tiara and is a possible improver in the final event on the program. BEST MULTI BET Flexi Roving Trifecta Race 7:1&2the rovers into 4,5,6,7,8 (Cost $20, which gives 66.66%) BEST INTERSTATE BET MAKING MAGIC (Albion Park Race 7 No.1) Is a little awkwardly drawn from the pole position as she lacks early pace, but she is an outstanding prospect, having won five races from just eight starts. She finished solidly in the Queensland Oaks last outing and looks hard to beat this evening.
April 24th 2009
April 27th 2009