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Herald Sun Form Guide : October 16th 2009
74 Herald Sun, Friday, October 16, 2009 heraldsun.com.au + + + + FB123 C M Y K DHS 16-OCT-2009 PAGE 74 FIRST Super form, super fast. superracing.com.au Punters have a new online destination for the latest racing news and form: Gates open at 9:30am TICKETS $55 at the gate or $50 through Ticketek. $38 concession. Express Class general public admission tickets as well as Fox FM Boulevard enclosure and public reserve seats can be made by calling Ticketek on 132 849, online at Ticketek or through all Ticketek agencies. GETTING THERE Train: Frankston, Dandenong, Cranbourne and Pakenham lines depar ting regularly from Flinders St to Caulfield Station. Car: Melways reference 68 E1. Free public parking is provided in the centre car park. POCKET GUIDE MANLEY'S MAIL BEST BET First Command (Race 9, No. 4): Just grabbed in the final stride by top class sprinter All Silent when trying to stretch his winning sequence to seven in the Bobbie Lewis Stakes at Flemington over 1200m. Back to 1100m which will suit. Will be able to take a sit on the speed and then set up a gap on his main rivals in the straight. Has won two from two at this track. ON PRECEDENCE Baughurst (Race 7, No. 2): Tough galloper looking to make it consecutive David Jones Cups. Going just as well as last year if not a fraction better and carries 0.5kg less. Excellent run last week in the Yalumba Stakes when 1.8 length fifth to Whobegotyou and drops 2. 5kg on that run. THE CLASH It's the meeting between Sydney star Hot Danish (Race 6, No. 2) and local mare Typhoon Tracy (Race 6, No. 3) to see who is the best older mare in the land over 1400m. Expect Typhoon Tracy to bounce back now she is being trained solely as a sprinter/miler. Interestingly, she has never been beaten by a member of her own sex. ON WEIGHTS Sniper's Bullet (Race 5, No. 11): Group 1 performer who has slid down in the weights. Was unlucky in this race last year when fifth behind Royal Discretion (Race 5, No. 2). Since then was beaten in a photo in the Railway Stakes by the ill-fated Gilded Venom. Looks well in on the minimum weight of 55kg. Predatory Pricer (Race 8, No. 9): Beat off last year's Cox Plate winner Maldivian and looked home but grabbed in final strides by Efficient. Drops 3kg here. Also finished an unlucky third in the AJC Derby in the autumn with 56.5kg. VALUE RUNNER Mirrsalo (Race 3, No. 3): Lightly raced Sydney filly showing promise. Finished well last start in much stronger event when fourth to Viking Legend and Saint Encosta in the Spring Championship Stakes. Who can win and why Why not claim the Caulfield Cup as well: Viewed (rails) wins last year's Melbourne Cup. Picture: DARREN McNAMARA VIEWED WHY HE CAN WIN Melbourne Cup winner who rocketed home in the Turnbull Stakes. He had no luck in this race last year when 10th. WHY HE CAN'T WIN Has only won one race from past 12 starts, the Cup. Carries top weight. KIRKLEES WHY HE CAN WIN International visitor going into the race in rare form having completed a hat-trick of wins. Has better form than last year's winner, stablemate All The Goods. WHY HE CAN'T WIN Always a query on international horses racing at Caulfield for first time. Had a virus on arriving in Australia. C'EST LA GUERRE WHY HE CAN WIN Melbourne Cup placegetter who finished nicely in the Turnbull. Has had only one run at this distance for a win in NZ Derby. WHY HE CAN'T WIN Hasn't won in 12 starts since the NZ Derby. Unplaced in four starts at Caulfield. CIMA DE TRIOMPHE WHY HE CAN WIN 2008 Italian Derby winner. Finished within 10 lengths of the best horse in the world, Sea The Stars, in the Eclipse Stakes, which is good enough for this. Also has Damien Oliver. WHY HE CAN'T WIN Again an international horse running at Caulfield for the first time. Has not won at the distance nor this way of going. FIUMICINO WHY HE CAN WIN Solid stayer who loves the wet. One of two dual Group 1 winners in the race. Won The BMW last autumn on heavy track. WHY HE CAN'T WIN Just battled into third on his favoured rain- affected track in the Metropolitan. Unplaced in seven starts at Caulfield. MASTER O'REILLY WHY HE CAN WIN Won this race two years ago and then last year gave away a big start when he finished seventh. Great run last start when trapped wide but found the line strongly when fourth in the Yalumba. WHY HE CAN'T WIN Hasn't won in 15 starts since winning this race two years ago. Has drawn outside gate. ROMAN EMPEROR WHY HE CAN WIN Battled on fairly well in the Turnbull. Has the Bart Cummings polish and last run over this trip he won the AJC Derby. WHY HE CAN'T WIN Form hasn't been spectacular this campaign. Still a slight query on the three- year-old form from last year. SARRERA WHY HE CAN WIN Very good on his day as shown by winning two Group 1s last year. Also finished second in Queen Elizabeth Stakes last autumn to Pompeii Ruler. WHY HE CAN'T WIN Well held in the Kelt Capital Stakes last start. No nine-year-old has won the cup. PREDATORY PRICER WHY HE CAN WIN Has great weight-for-age form and comes in magnificently on the weights. Has had a perfect preparation. WHY HE CAN'T WIN Has a habit of over-racing, which might work against him in a Caulfield Cup. RED RULER WHY HE CAN WIN Close up in the Underwood Stakes and Turnbull. Also finished close up in last year's Caulfield Cup. WHY HE CAN'T WIN Doesn't win many ( hasn't won for 18 starts) and may lack the necessary sprint. ZAVITE WHY HE CAN WIN Free-runner who held on well when fourth to Alcopop in the Herbert Power. Likely to have the lead to himself. WHY HE CAN'T WIN Takes a quality stayer to lead throughout and he is unproven at this level. HARRIS TWEED WHY HE CAN WIN Was second in last autumn's AJC Derby splitting two of the favoured horses here, Roman Emperor and Predatory Pricer. WHY HE CAN'T WIN Finished well back in the Kelt Capital. Goes into race on a three-run preparation. LIGHT VISION WHY HE CAN WIN Tough stayer who will race on speed and also won't know himself with 52.5kg. He hasn't carried less than 56.5kg at his past 12 starts. WHY HE CAN'T WIN Unplaced in two Group 2 runs so he is an unknown in this class. DAFFODIL WHY SHE CAN WIN She had little luck last start in the Kelt Capital in NZ. Swooped home to win her previous run. AJC Oaks winner. WHY SHE CAN'T WIN Likely to drift back. Also a query on the NZ form and Oaks form. READY TO LIFT WHY SHE CAN WIN Lightweight who has won three and finished second once from five starts over this distance. Good finishing burst. WHY SHE CAN'T WIN Yet to contest a race at Group 1. RED LORD WHY HE CAN WIN Sprinted home quickly from seemingly impossible position to win at Group 3 level over 2000m two starts ago. WHY HE CAN'T WIN Unplaced in five runs over distance. VIGOR WHY HE CAN WIN Won Makybe Diva at weight-for-age before little luck at next two starts. Comes in well on 51kg. Outside barrier suits. WHY HE CAN'T WIN Only try at this distance range was a win in the Bagot Handicap (2500m) but how will that hold up at this level? ALLEZ WONDER WHY SHE CAN WIN A lightly weighted mare in peak form with the Cummings polish. WHY SHE CAN'T WIN Steps up from a win at 1600m to 2400m in the space of a week. BAUGHURST WHY HE CAN WIN Close-up fifth in Turnbull and drops 6.5kg. WHY HE CAN'T WIN Outside draw won't help and is slight query at this level. SHOCKING WHY HE CAN WIN Only beaten by boom horse Alcopop in Herbert Power. WHY HE CAN'T WIN Will be giving away a big start. NEWPORT WHY HE CAN WIN Won three from six over trip. WHY HE CAN'T WIN Struggling for form and query at this level. MISS DARCEY WHY SHE CAN WIN Good second last start to Light Vision. WHY SHE CAN'T WIN Question mark in this company. Compiled by Michael Manley
October 15th 2009
October 17th 2009