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Herald Sun Form Guide : January 2nd 2010
heraldsun.com.au Herald Sun, Saturday, January 2, 2010 37 + + FB123 C M Y K DHS 2-JAN-2010 PAGE 37 FIRST www.tab.com.au Moonee Valley TODAY HERALD SUN SUPERFORM LIFTOUT PROS TALKING HOT JOCKS In top form: Cascabel will take some beating in the Essendon Fields Handicap at Moonee Valley tonight. MIDNIGHT OIL with TIM HABEL TRACK: Dead 5 PENETROMETER: 4.72 RAIL: 3m LAST MEETING: True, Dec 18 LAST TIME in 3m: December 11 RAINFALL: 13.5mm IRRIGATION for the week: 51mm RADAR: Showers 1 TRAINER Mick Price holds the key here. He has the form fillies LADY GAGA (1) and ORBITING BELLE (2) and is using the claim on both his runners. Lady Gaga never left the rail when an impressive winner here last time but first-up stablemate Orbiting Belle has the stronger form. She has placings behind Augusta Proud in Adelaide and unbeaten Black Caviar here. VALENTINE BLUES (3) is unbeaten in two runs and fought on well for a Sandown mid- week win last time from TIPTOE DANCER (8) closing late. MISS RUBINSTEIN (7), scratched from Flemington yesterday, will appreciate return to fillies grade. ON-PACERS: Miss Rubinstein, Hooness. SWOOPERS: Lady Gaga, Orbiting Belle, Valentine Blues, Hooness, Tiptoe Dancer. SUGGESTED BET: Orbiting Belle straight out, exactas with 1. 2 Good race with some promising three-year-olds clashing. TESTA MY PATIENCE (4) ran on strongly behind stablemate Luminous Harmony who dictated terms in front at Flemington. He looks ideally placed over the extra 200m. TIO ROSSA (5) hung when not far away in the same race. She won well here before that and is ready for the 1600m now. Last- start city winners TOKEN OF HONOUR (1) and TONZATICKA (2), and FLASH MADICA (9), who opened up a massive lead and almost pinched a 1600m race at Flemington last time, are other chances. ON-PACERS: Tonzaticka, Flash Madica. SWOOPERS: Token Of Honour, Eraset, Testa My Patience, Tio Rossa. SUGGESTED BET: Testa My Patience straight out, quinellas with 1, 2,5,9. 3 MODERATE line-up with CHEDDINGTON (2) from the in- form Mick Kent yard well placed. This is his first try at 3000m, but from six runs at 2400m and beyond he has only missed a place once when he got a long way back at Flemington on Cup day in stronger grade than this. JUMPIN JACK CASH (6) is lightly raced and a stayer on the up. PETRO WELLS (5) was trounced by Humaway here last time but will find this easier. MR RIGGS (1), HAKA BRAVE (3) and NOTHIN' TO SEE (4), who has won two of these 3000m marathons, can place. ON-PACERS: Perisher Blue. SWOOPERS: Mr Riggs, Cheddington, Haka Brave, Nothin' To See, Petro Wells, Jumpin Jack Cash, Bishop Of Derry. SUGGESTED BET: Cheddington straight out, quinellas with 5, 6. 4 CASCABEL (4) has always shown Saturday class ability and resumed with a soft mid-week Caulfield win. This is well within his scope. The watch runner is former New Zealander I ROBOT (2) who is coming off Group and stakes race form in New Zealand and Brisbane at his past six starts so this is a significant drop in grade. ELUSIVE TOUCH (9), led easily from a wide draw and just held on for a Saturday 0-75 win at Rosehill at his last run. TAKE THE RAP (10) is a lightly raced three-year-old taking on older gallopers but he ran a bold race here fresh behind the smart Doubtful Jack. Fellow three-year-old TRUE PERSUASION (12) has a placing behind classy Denman and a win here last preparation. ON-PACERS :Take The Rap. SWOOPERS: Going Spending, I Robot, Cascabel, Miss Supernatural, True Persuasion. SUGGESTED BET: Box quinellas 2, 4, 10. 5 ANAVALANCHE (2) is ready to win. He worked home well two starts back then got a long way out of his ground at Flemington from a wide draw before being checked in the straight and hanging in. He is a winner here. SYLVAN O'REILLY (1) and NO JURISDICTION (7) were placed in the same Flemington race and loom as threats. OLD JOCK (4) is a Group- placed New Zealand stayer who worked home well at his first start for Mick Price at Caulfield and the progression to 1600m suits. He's unbeaten second-up. ON-PACERS: Produced. SWOOPERS: Sylvan O'Reilly, Anavalanche, Old Jock, Good Medicine, No Jurisdiction. SUGGESTED BET: Anavalanche each-way. 6 GOOD depth here but the lightly raced CUSTODIAN (6) is well placed. He's good fresh and has had a 42-day break since a strong Sandown Saturday class win. HAPPY GLEN (2) was Group-placed in the spring and had no luck behind Custodian at Sandown. CARGO CULT (1) is the class runner resuming from a 420-day break. He has a good first-up record and won a recent 1000m Colac trial. Speedster ALEXANDER BEETLE (9) , who turned in a huge first-up run down the straight after almost a year off the scene and twice a winner here, GLOBAL WARMING (3), JOHNNY FIASCO (4) and ALLIED FORCE (10) are all threats. ON-PACERS: Alexander Beetle SWOOPERS: Cargo Cult, Happy Glen, Global Warming, Johnny Fiasco, Custodian, Allied Force. SUGGESTED BET: Custodian each- way. 7 LOADS of pace here from TANGO'S CHOICE (2) and EMMA PRINCESS (7) should set this up for BEL SHOES (3) and FALVELON'S DREAM (1) to repeat their quinella result from the December 13 meeting here. Falvelon's Dream charged late after being held up for a run but after the claim for Nathan Rose Bel Shoes has a 2kg weight swing. ON-PACERS: Tango's Choice, Emma Princess. SWOOPERS: Falvelon's Dream, Bel Shoes. SUGGESTED BET: Quinellas/ exactas 1, 3 8 THE RED EMPEROR (6), normally an on-pacer, got out of his ground at Flemington last time when stewards quizzed connections over the tactics. This is weaker grade and his previous brave run at Caulfield when stuck out on a limb would win this. MONTAHLIA (4) finished her race off strongly when resuming here behind BLACKFRIARS BRIDGE (8) after 11 months off the scene. TESTALUX (1) won in slightly weaker grade with this weight here last time and is a threat again. ON-PACERS: The Tiger, Trajet, The Red Emperor. SWOOPERS: Testalux, De Arias, Monthalia, Blackfriars Bridge. SUGGESTED BET: The Red Emperor each-way THE MAIL GUEST TIPSTER TIM HABEL QUINELLA MV: Falvelon's Dream (R7 No. 1, Bell Shoes (R7 No 3). Loads of speed is ideal for these swoopers who quinellaed a similar race here ADAM HAMILTON STRAIGHT OUT ROSEHILL: Pinwheel (R2 No.3). Last two wins have been absolute crackers. Looks to be something very special for leading Snowden stable. Gun hoop K. McEvoy should simply sit and steer. MICHAEL MANLEY PARLAY Take a Formula 2 and 3 bet on the first three races. Take Lady Gaga (R1 No. 1) to win into Flash Madica (R2 No. 9) the place, into the best bet on the program Cheddington (R3 No. 2). For $5 it will cost you $20. NICK QUINN STRAIGHT OUT GOLD COAST: Burdekin Blues (R5 No.1): Is currently the in-form sprinter in the country and looks a great way for punters to build a bank for the day. Should simply lead and win. The BIG6 will operate on the following meetings. Moonee Valley gallops: Leg 1: Race 3: 7.40. Leg 2: Race 4: 8.15. Leg 3: Race 5: 8.50. Leg 4: Race 6: 9.20. Leg 5: Race 7: 9.50. Leg 6: Race 8: 10.20. The Meadows greyhounds: Leg 1: Race 4: 7.53. Leg 2: Race 5: 8.18. Leg 3: Race 6: 8.38. Leg 4: Race 7: 9.00. Leg 5: Race 9: 9.30. Leg 6: Race 10: 10.23. CAMERON WHITE Victorian cricket captain MV R4 No. 8 Rolngarros each- way. MV R6 No. 9 Alexander Beetle each-way LEE FREEDMAN TRAINER RAEBURN (MV R5 No. 5): He's a stock-in-trade Valley night horse who seems right in the mix again. ROBERT SMERDON TRAINER ANAVALANCHE (MV R5 No. 2): His last couple of runs have been good and this looks a pretty suitable race. He's won at the Valley but that was over 2040m. This might be a tad short but he's going as well as we can have him at the moment. GLOBAL WARMING (MV R6 No. 3): This is the right sort of scenario for him --- a fast-run sprint over 1000 metres. The barrier is obviously the trick as Damien will have to go right back. The danger is losing sight of them but he will be closing hard. NIKKI BURKE TRAINER JOHNNY FIASCO (MV R6 No. 4): There looks to be heaps of pace and he should box-seat. We won't be taking on Alexander Beetle; Allied Force can do that if he likes. We'll just sit off them. As for last start, he just wasn't himself. He seemed down in the mouth and had to be virtually dragged off the float. I'm sure he'll bounce back. TALENTED apprentice Brent Evans looks in for a good night at Moonee Valley as he has a strong book of rides and is likely to start favourite in the TAB Sportsbet Jockey Challenge when markets open today. He has four good rides --- ORBITING BELLE (R2 No. 2), GOING SPENDING (R4 No. 1), OLD JOCK (R5 No. 4) and TANGO'S CHOICE (R7 No. 2). The former boom Queensland apprentice, who is indentured to Mick Kent at Cranbourne, has been in good form since coming back from a suspension. THE BANKERS ON FORMLINE: ORBITING BELLE (R1 No. 2) ON VIDEO: ANAVALANCE (R5 No. 2) ON PRECEDENT: BEL SHOES (R7 No. 3) $50 FLEXI QUAD FOR 29.7 per cent 1,2,4/1,2,3,4,6,9,10/1,3/1,3, 4, 6. ALAN ESKANDER BOOKIE CHEDDINGTON (MV R3 No. 2): Looks perfectly placed in this. Good effort last start in better class race and Mick Kent should have him primed to run trip right out. Probably has a class edge on rivals.
January 1st 2010
January 4th 2010