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Herald Sun Form Guide : December 5th 2009
heraldsun.com.au Herald Sun, Saturday, December 5, 2009 57 + + FB123 C M Y K DHS 5-DEC-2009 PAGE 57 FIRST www.tab.com.au Caulfield TODAY HERALD SUN SUPERFORM LIFTOUT PROS TALKING HOT JOCKS Worth gamble: class galloper Time Matters is fresh and, with a 3kg claim, appeals in an open race six today. MIDNIGHT OIL with MATT STEWART TRACK: Dead 4 PENETROMETER: 5.15 RAIL: Out 10m LAST MEETING: Out 2m Cup Day LAST TIME OUT 10m: May 23 IRRIGATION: 12mm for week RADAR: Possible shower 1 MARCONI (4) ran fast time and looked high class winning at Stony Creek where he ran a very slick time, almost smashing the track record. Mick Price said he ''has an opinion'' of him, which speaks volumes. Home track advantage makes him the one to beat. CINECITTA (2) should boot up and get good run from inside alley. Coming off good carnival class and has slight, maybe significant, gear change. BALTIC SPIRIT (1) will be running on and ARNOUX (3), who took a fair wrap into soft debut win, will be there a long way. ON-PACERS: Marconi, Arnoux, Cinecitta. SWOOPERS: Baltic Spirit. SUGGESTED BET: Marconi the win. 2 Prepared to gamble first-up on RATHSALLAGH (3), who lost her way last time in but has had change of stable, has trialled well and is pretty smart on her day. Won brilliantly first-up at Cranbourne two preps back. Good each-way value on the fixed odds about $12. Rest are even and average. If 10m rail lends itself to on-pacers, then in-form ROOF RAISER (2) will take running down. RED FLAIR (5) put writing on the wall last start and seems well placed. ON-PACERS: Roof Raiser, Red Flair SWOOPERS: Rathsallagh SUGGESTED BET: Each-way Rathsallagh. 3 Good race. Reckon the 3kg claims give smart pair UMANUGGET (1) and PAGANINI'S SOUL (2) the edge. Both have been impressive lately and represent the class. Umanugget is fringe carnival class. Paganini's Soul might have tactical edge from slightly better gate and will settle closer in the run than Umanugget. GO FOR HOME (10) is lightly raced and impressed last start when odds-on and well backed. CABEZA (7) is a staying-bred type who will appreciate the 1400m. OUR INHERITANCE (3) is underrated and can figure if track is on-pace biased. ON-PACERS: Paganini's Soul, Our Inheritance, Go For Home. SWOOPERS: Umanugget, Cabeza. SUGGESTED BET: Quinella 1 and 2. 4 Keen on RAVISHING REWARD (3). She flies fresh and likes the track. Seems irresistibly in with claim and perfectly drawn to pounce. Stable is having a very good run too. CHAMELEON (5) can show her true colours fresh. Comes through very strong form lines. EMMA PRINCESS (8) is fit and flying and is hard to catch if leaders are winning. SCENICA (2) put the writing on the wall last start and will be rattling home. TANGO'S CHOICE (1) is in the mix but reckon 1200m is some query and interestingly has had three goes at home track for three duck eggs. ON-PACERS: Tango's Choice, Emma Princess, Piece Of The Sky. SWOOPERS: Ravishing Reward, Chameleon, Scenica. SUGGESTED BET: Tread carefully. Rove 3 and 5 in multiples. 5 PINS ON ICE (5) looks the right filly in the right race. Ran into a very smart speed filly first-up and hit line hard. Not convinced of depth of that form but she has upside. Draw makes it a tad tricky and will probably press forward. NAKAAYA (7) ran into very smart type at Wangaratta in Adamon and can measure up. Adamon was then unlucky in a race on Wodonga Cup day. Interesting runner is PLUS JAMAIS (10) who is beautifully bred and could easily have made debut at the provincials but has come straight to town, and is on home track. Had very soft trial. Watch betting. Next best YOU'RE BEAUTIFUL (1), who is awkwardly drawn, and SCARLETTA (11). ON-PACERS: You're Beautiful, Pins On Ice, Scarletta. SWOOPERS: Nakaaya. SUGGESTED BET: Minitor betting, maybe something each-way Pins On Ice.6 The barriers make this near- impossible. In a busy race I'd be happy to spec TIME MATTERS (1) on basis that he is best horse, has claim and has good middle gate to let the speed go and close without too much traffic. JOHNNY FIASCO (15) was terrific first-up. Underrated and will be improved. HAPPY GLEN (2) copped a hammering in the run last start and can improve sharply. Pulled up with cuts. JEUNEYMAN (3) will be ridden cold first-up and will flash home late. Ran strong second at recent Benalla trial behind Mind Your Head. Note ran terrific 7th, beaten 2.5 len, behind Lucky Secret first-up last prep. Include GLOBAL WARMING (5), JETEVEN (10) in multiples. ON-PACERS: Happy Glen, Jeteven, Johnny Fiasco SWOOPERS: Time Matters, Custodian, Jeuneyman, Global Warming SUGGESTED BET: Back both 1 and 15 the win and hope. 7 What a terrible race. TIMETABLE (5) might just be a specific 1800m horse and gets his chance again. Will get gun run from the gate and looks the one. THE WOLVERINE (1) is a complete money muncher but is also an 1800m horse. Claim takes a bit of weight off and will be running on hard. Note has blinkers on which might sharpen him up. BONINDI (2) had no luck last start and will roll along on-pace. Next best TOLKA ROCK (4), who hit line hard last start but still must prove he can run a trip, and FAIRYGEM (8), who is fitter. ON-PACERS: Bonindi, Tolka Rock. SWOOPERS: Timetable, The Wolverine, Fairygem. SUGGESTED BET: Nil. 8 Good race. Value might be AWIMOWEH (11), who is simply a darn good horse (note form around Shocking etc). Has been trialling only ''fair'' at Balnarring according to new trainer John McArdle, but always turns up on race-day and is tough. Will be strong late. SHEEDY (10) is limited but honest and on-pace. DANZYLUM (9) is ready but awkwardly drawn and DANE KEEPER (8) will be hitting line very hard. SILKY SMOOTH (6) was OK last start ... but he is Simply Smooth. He has blinkers back on which probably means he'll race first three. ON-PACERS: Sheedy, Danzylum. SWOOPERS: Awimoweh, Dane Keeper. SUGGESTED BET: Back the best horse --- Awimoweh. THE MAIL GUEST TIPSTER Matt Stewart PARLAY CAULFIELD: Take Marconi (R1) the win, into Rathsallagh (R2), the place, into Johnny Fiasco (R6), the place. Tim Habel BIG6 CAULFIELD (Races 3-8): Leg 1: 1. Leg2:3,5 Leg3:1,2,3,4,5 Leg4:1,2 Leg5:2,4,5,6 Leg6:4,7,8,11. $50 flexi for 15.6% Adam Hamilton WIN TRENTHAM(Race 8 No.8): Tell A Tale looks a huge chance to take out the Captain Cook Stakes. With James McDonald in the saddle looks the winner. Nick Quinn WIN DOOMBEN (Race 7 No. 2): Burdekin Blues is one of the best sprinters in the country, last start blitzed his rivals down the straight at Flemington and looks set to do the same again today with top local hoop Shane Scriven in the saddle The BIG6 will operate on the following meetings. Caulfield gallops: Leg 1: Race 3: 2.05. Leg 2: Race 4: 2.45. Leg 3: Race 5: 3.25. Leg 4: Race 6: 4.05. Leg 5: Race 7: 4.45. Leg 6: Race 8: 5.25. The Meadows greyhounds: Leg 1: Race 4: 8.19. Leg 2: Race 5: 8.38. Leg 3: Race 6: 9.00. Leg 4: Race 7: 9.20. Leg 5: Race 8: 9.38. Leg 6: Race 9: 9.57. Stephen Mott Managing director, Braywin Vic Pty Ltd Race 6 Caulfield No 2. Happy Glen Race 8 Caulfield No 9. Danzylum Matt Tripp BOOKMAKER TIMETABLE (Caulfield R7 No.5): Drops back from a strong race at Flemington where the form has stacked up very well. Looks the winner today. Robbie Griffiths TRAINER BALTIC SPIRIT (Caulfield R1 No.1): Nice horse and certainly in the mix for the placings but I think we're all running to fight out second aren't we? Mick Price's (Marconi) was super impressive winning on debut. METEOR MISTRESS (Caulfield R4 No. 6): Was OK at the Valley but not fit enough yet --- one more. HAPPY GLEN (Caulfield R6 No. 2): He's a beauty and one of many chances in a tough race. He won this race last year. DANZYLUM (Caulfield R8 No. 9): He's ready. Might be a bit of a sitting shot late after working a bit from a wide gate but he's ready to run a huge race. Robert Smerdon TRAINER RATHSALLAGH (Caulfield R2 No. 3): She's had a couple of little jump-outs at Caulfield and a nice trial at Cranbourne --- it was slow time but a nice trial --- and she's going well. I think she will be competitive. TALE OF LOVE (Caulfield R4 No. 7): She didn't really measure up against the better ones over the spring so we've freshened her up and brought her back in class. Not sure if she's forward enough to win. DANESCAPE (Caulfield R5 No. 2): Stepped her up to 1400m in the hope the slower tempo might be in her favour. GLOBAL WARMING (Caulfield R6 No. 5): Needs moon and stars in alignment - pace on, right luck - but if gets it will be hard to beat. LUKE NOLEN has made a great start to the season having already ridden 19 city winners. Today he has a great book of rides and is a big chance to take out the Caulfield jockey's challenge. THE MARKET $2.00 Luke Nolen $6.00 Billy Egan $7.00 Any other indiv. jockey $7.00 Jason Maskiell $10.00 Jarrod Fry $13.00 Danny Nikolic $13.00 Nathan Rose $14.00 Craig Newitt THE BANKERS ON CLASS: TIME MATTERS (Race 6, No 1) ON VIDEO MARCONI (Race 1, No 4) PINS ON ICE (Race 5, No 5) $50 FLEXI QUADDIE FOR 19.84% 5,7,10,11/ 1,2,3,5,6,10,15/ 1,2,5/ 8,9,10,11.
December 4th 2009
December 7th 2009